TBZ stock declines 12.5% after poor Q2 numbers: 30 Nov 2017

Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri stock declined 12.5% on the back of weak Q2 numbers.

The company has registered 90% decline in its Q2 net profit at Rs80lakh against Rs8cr in the same quarter last fiscal. Its revenue was down 27% at Rs326cr against Rs447cr.

EBITDA was down 50% at Rs12cr and margins were down 160 bps at 3.6%.

The stock is currently trading at Rs120.6, down by Rs17.2 or 12.48% from its previous closing of Rs137.8 on the BSE. The scrip opened at Rs127.8 and has touched a high and low of Rs128 and Rs116.4 respectively.

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Positive Monday morning on D-Street; SGX Nifty up 16 pts: 24 Jul 2017

Indian Indices:

Indian shares are likely to witness a positive start on Monday morning as the global markets look supportive with SGX Nifty trading 16 points higher @9928
Indian equities are likely to open on flat note with positive bias on Monday, tracking firm cues from Nifty futures on the Singapore Stock Exchange and weak trading across Asian markets.

Back home, bullish trend in the SGX Nifty Index Futures for July delivery, which were trading at 9,924.50, up by 12.00 points or 0.12 per cent, at 10:46 AM Singapore time, also signaled a positive opening for local bourses.

On the corporate front, Avenue Supermarts, owner of the DMart retail chain, will remain in focus after the company reported a 47.60 per cent year-on-year (YoY) growth in net profit at Rs 174.77 crore for the June quarter, compared to Rs 118.44 crore profit in the year ago period.
On the earnings front, Ambuja Cements, HDFC Bank, HUDCO, India bulls Realty, Texmaco Rail and Zee Entertainment, will announce their June quarter results today.

On Friday, the Indian equities ended higher in choppy trade, tracking firm cues from Asian peers, led by gains in frontline bluechip such as Wipro, Reliance Industries, Coal India, Tata Consultancy Services, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Infosys. Wipro surged over 6 per cent after IT major reported better-than-expected earnings and announced to buyback equity shares worth Rs 11,000 crore. Mukesh Ambani-led RIL ended nearly 4 per cent higher 
after the company reported net profit of Rs 9,108 crore for the June 2017 quarter, up 28 per cent from the corresponding period last year.

The 30-share barometer SENSEX closed at 32028.89, up by 124.49 points or by 0.39 per cent, and the NSE Nifty ended at 9915.25, up by 41.95 points or by 0.42 per cent.

Global Market:

Asian stocks were trading mostly lower after Wall Street ended marginally lower on Friday weighed down by disappointing corporate earnings, while fall in oil prices dragged energy companies. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC oil producers will meet today in St Petersburg, Russian to discuss on crude oil production cuts, which was agreed upon earlier this year.

Prospects for tighter monetary policy in Europe and other countries could pose a fresh problem for the Federal Reserve when it meets next week to ponder its plan to reduce its $4.2 trillion bond portfolio purchased after the 2008 financial crisis.

In September 2015, the U.S. Federal Reserve cited risks from China as a key reason for delaying its first interest rate hike in a decade. A wall of Chinese debt maturing in the next few years could jolt the country back into the U.S. central bank's policy deliberations.

Major Headlines of the day:

• Pricol agrees to buy car wiper business of PMP Auto Components.
• Morgan Stanley increases stake in Redington for Rs 107 cr.
• GVK completes residual stake sale in Bangalore Airport to Fairfax India.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 12.90 the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs 147.66 as per the provisional figures.

Upcoming Result : J&K BANK,VIJAYA BANK,UNITED SPIRIT,AMBUJACEM,BHARTI, INFRATEL,DELTACORP,GICHSG,HDFCBANK,IBULHSGFIN,IBREALEST,M&MFIN,ZEEL,IRBINFRA

Securities in Ban For Trade Date 24-JUl-2017:

1.DLF
2.FORTIS
3.GMRINFRA
4.HDIL
5.IBREALEST
6.INFIBEAM
7.JPASSOCIAT
8.JSWENERGY
9.KSCL
10.ORIENTBANK
11.SINTEX
12.TV18BRDCST
13.UJJIVAN

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Commodity traders wary of building inventory: 15 June 2017

Stockists halt buying on hopes of farm produce becoming cheaper after GST comes into effect

A sustained fall in prices of farm produce on expectations of a bumper kharif output is hurting farmers nationwide. Traders are not buying even at low prices due to tight liquidity and expectations of even lower prices after the GST is imposed.

The government’s decision to place essential food in the “zero” tax GST bracket has brought trade to a standstill. “Uttar Pradesh levies a purchase tax on wheat and Haryana and Jharkhand levy VAT on rice. Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Madhya Pradesh levy VAT on oilseeds. Many such commodities fall in the zero-tax GST bracket. Stockists are wary of building inventory on concerns that VAT credit will not be allowed,” said Unupom Kausik, deputy chief executive officer, National Collateral Management Services, a New Delhi-headquartered warehousing company.

Consequently, many essential commodities are trading below their minimum support prices (MSPs). Tur, for example, in Amravati (Maharashtra) hit its lowest of Rs 3,725 a quintal last week against its MSP of Rs 5,050 a quintal. Paddy in Abhanpur (Chhattisgarh) slumped to  Rs 1,375 a quintal last week, substantially below its MSP of Rs 1510 a quintal. Other commodities, including cereals, oilseeds, and pulses, have faced significant declines in the last few months.

Food Corporation of India (FCI), the National Agricultural Cooperative Marketing Federation of India (Nafed) and the Small Farmers’ Agribusiness Consortium (SFAC) have also not stepped in to buy farm produce at MSP.

“The government’s focus is on preventing the rise of commodity prices. Inflation may be under control, but such decisions are harmful to farmers,” said Yogesh Pande, spokesman of the Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghatna, an organization working for farmers’ welfare in Maharashtra.

The All Indian Kisans’ Coordination Committee has convened a meeting of representatives in New Delhi on June 16. The agenda of this meeting is to recommend fair and realistic MSPs.

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Tata Motors drops on weak global wholesales in May : 12 June 2017

Tata Motors was trading lower by more than 1% on Monday’s early trading session. The company on Saturday had announced weaker global wholesales report for the month of May.

Tata Motors Group global wholesales in May 2017, including Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), were at 86,385 units, lower by 1%, over May 2016.

Global wholesales of all Tata Motors’ commercial vehicles and Tata Daewoo range in May 2017 were at 28,310 units, lower by 13%, over May 2016.

Global wholesales of all passenger vehicles in May 2017 were at 58,075 units, higher by 6%, compared to May 2016.

Global wholesales for Jaguar Land Rover were 47,131 vehicles (JLR number for May 17 includes CJLR volumes of 6,806 units).

Jaguar wholesales for the month were 12,652 vehicles, while Land Rover wholesales for the month were 34,479 vehicles.

Chery Jaguar Land Rover (CJLR) is a JV between JLR and Chery Automobiles and is an unconsolidated subsidiary for JLR.

Stock view:

Tata Motors Ltd is currently trading at Rs 462.45, down by Rs 4.75 or 1.02% from its previous closing of Rs 467.2 on the BSE.

The scrip opened at Rs 467 and has touched a high and low of Rs 467 and Rs 459.65 respectively. So far 1248389(NSE+BSE) shares were traded on the counter. The current market cap of the company is Rs 149699.42 crore.

The BSE group 'A' stock of face value Rs 2 has touched a 52 week high of Rs 598.6 on 07-Sep-2016 and a 52 week low of Rs 417.1 on 08-May-2017. Last one week high and low of the scrip stood at Rs 484.4 and Rs 453.6 respectively.

The promoters holding in the company stood at 34.73 % while Institutions and Non-Institutions held 38.71 % and 26.56 % respectively.

The stock is currently trading above its 200 DMA.

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HDFC Bank market cap to touch $100 bn by 2020: Goldman Sachs: 9 June 2017

Private sector lender HDFC Bank is likely to cross the $100 billion market capitalization mark by fiscal 2019-20, Goldman Sachs said in a note. HDFC 

Bank is currently the country's most valued bank with a market value of Rs 4,22,700 crore (nearly $66 billion).

Doubling of profits to $5 billion (Rs 32,000 crore) by 2020-21 will be the key driver in taking HDFC Bank towards the $100 billion market cap milestone, the brokerage said.

Goldman Sachs expects HDFC Bank's earnings to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 21 percent in the next three financial years to 2019-20. 

It says the bank's latest earnings defied investor concern on growth and profitability.

"HDFC Bank leverages the market share shift from state-owned banks; the retail under-penetration using its large distribution network, highest efficiency among retail peers, and low cost of funds; and a shift of financial savings from deposits to other products. Under our bull case, we see the potential for market cap rising to around $137 billion, assuming valuations re-rate closer to one standard deviation above the median on potentially higher growth and best-in-class profitability," Goldman Sachs said in a note.

The brokerage said capital issues at state-owned banks and asset quality challenges at large private sector bank are helping HDFC Bank gain market share. Rising retail lending penetration, higher credit card usage following demonetization is also aiding the bank's growth. Shift of household savings from deposits to other financial products are also leading to fees growth and profitability for the broking business, the brokerage said.

Currently, some of the global banks in the $100 billion market cap club include JP Morgan, China's ICBC, Wells Fargo HSBC and Citibank.

Domestically, HDFC Bank is the third-biggest company in terms of market cap behind Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and Reliance Industries. 

Currently, TCS has a market cap of around Rs 496,843 crore ($77 billion) and RIL is valued at Rs 432,408 crore ($67 billion).

In 2013, several brokerages including JP Morgan and CLSA had come out with a note stating TCS could become India's first company to touch the $100 billion market cap mark.

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RBI policy today: Language, not rates, to be focus as GST, monsoon roll in: 7 June 2017

Central bank could revise inflation forecast downward; growth forecast could be revised too

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is widely expected to keep its policy rates unchanged at Wednesday’s monetary policy review. The rates are to be announced a few hours from now.

However, the policy stance could still be 'neutral', which would mean that the central bank is prepared to move rates on either side. The RBI had changed its stance in the February policy. Instead of action on rates, the language of the policy statement will be important in today's review. 

While the present set of numbers point towards an accommodative stance, the numbers can reverse their course by December and be taking a call on policy relying on the present set of numbers could be deceptive, warn economists.

For example, the retail inflation in April was 2.99 percent, well below RBI’s own target of four per cent. However, the inflation print could turn out to be in the 4.5-5 percent range by December 2017, according to Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley’s global co-head of economics and chief Asia economist.

Growth, for now, has taken a hit due to demonetization but should bounce back soon. Therefore, a pause at this point could be more appropriate, said a Business Standard Poll of 12 economists on Monday.

However, a status quo policy doesn’t mean that it would be any less important. The RBI can send signals to the market through the tone of its policy statement. Analysts expect the central bank to revise its inflation forecast downward and that would be interpreted as dovish by the market.

Similarly, RBI’s forecast on growth could be revised too. Further, the central bank’s assessment of issues related to the goods and services tax (GST) and the impact on inflation due to the revision in house rent allowance for government employees would also be carefully analyzed.

If GST is introduced in July, the inflation data in August could give some early indication of the tax regime's possible impact on prices. Besides, the central bank will have to wait to assess the impact of the monsoon too. RBI’s take on each of these issues would be carefully watched.

Some economists also say the ‘corridor’, or the difference between the repo rate and the reverse repo rate, has become an important parameter in RBI the policy now. Any statement on the corridor, which was narrowed down to 25 basis points (bps) in the April policy from 50 bps earlier, would be very important.

The policy repo rate is now at 6.25 percent, while the reverse repo rate is at six per cent. Both the rates should remain the same for the entire the calendar year, say, economists.

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CS OPENING BELL : 7 June 2017

NIFTY SPOT UP25 @9662

SENSEX UP 102 @31290

BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP 40 @23472

CS NIFTY FUTURES (JUN) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES2:9755

RES 1:9705

SUP1:9645

SUP2:9575

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (JUN) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES 2: 23525

RES 1:23475

SUP1:23275

SUP2: 23025

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CS OPENING BELL : 5 June 2017

NIFTY SPOT UP 2 @9655

SENSEX DOWN 25 @31250

BANK NIFTY FUTURES DOWN 11 @23330

CS NIFTY FUTURES (JUN) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES2:9725

 RES 1:9675

SUP1:9625

SUP2:9575

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (JUN) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES 2: 23525

RES 1:23405

SUP1:23175

SUP2: 23025

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CS OPENING BELL : 30 May 2017

NIFTY SPOT UP 14@9618

SENSEX UP 60 @31167

BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP 40@23245

CS NIFTY FUTURES (JUN) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES2:9675

RES 1:9640

SUP1:9475

SUP2:9425

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (JUN) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES 2: 23525

RES 1:23405

SUP1:23100

SUP2: 23025

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HDFC Life gears up for IPO as Max merger delayed - 24-MAY-2017

HDFC Life, one of the country’s leading private sector life insurance companies, seems to be reverting to its original plan of going for an initial public offering (IPO), a decision that was taken almost a year back. 

Senior company officials told Business Standard that HDFC Life was getting back into the IPO mode since getting regulatory approvals for a merger with Max Life was taking an inordinate amount of time. 

“We are quite ready to do an IPO, something that we had decided in last April-May. The merger can always happen at a later date when we have the required regulatory approvals,” said a senior official. 

The merger of HDFC Life and Max Life, which was announced in August 2016, ran into rough weather after the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (Irdai) sent it to the attorney general (AG) for approval. 

In November, Max Financial Services informed the BSE that “Irdai has expressed reservations to accept the scheme of amalgamation in its current form. The company believes that the scheme of arrangement as submitted to Irdai is in compliance with all applicable laws and proposes to represent and clarify the matter to Irdai”.

The three-stage deal had envisaged that Max Life was to merge with Max Financial Services, which would in turn merge with HDFC Life. The deal structure was designed in this manner so that HDFC Life would automatically get listed on the stock exchanges since Max Financial Services is already listed.

The insurance regulator raised its concerns on the last stage, said industry sources, as Max Financial Services is the holding company of Max Life Insurance and the merger was happening between a holding company and a life insurance company. For HDFC Life, a merger with Max would mean that it would automatically get listed on the bourses. 

According to Section 35 of the Insurance Act 1938, no life insurance business of an insurer can be transferred to any person, or transferred to or amalgamated with the life insurance business of any other insurer, except in accordance with a scheme prepared under this section and approved by the Authority. Irdai, consequently, had sought the approval of the AG for the deal.  

On Tuesday, television channels reported that the HDFC Life- Max Life deal proposal had been returned by the AG to Irdai without any comment. While both the companies did not confirm the development, in a joint statement, they said: “We have heard media reports about this development but don’t have an independent confirmation. HDFC and Max Group remain strongly committed to concluding this proposed merger and will be working with the insurance regulator to do so.”
  
The AG’s move seems to have stumped both insurers as they were expecting some kind of closure soon. According to investment bankers, many in the insurance industry are closely following this deal as there are many players who are not doing too well, and there are strong chances of consolidation in the industry.

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CS OPENING BELL : 23 May 2017

NIFTY SPOT DOWN 32 @9402

SENSEX DOWN 92 @30477

BANK NIFTY FUTURES DOWN 120 @22557

CS NIFTY FUTURES (MAY) OVERVIEW

TREND BEARISH

RES2:9560

RES 1:9505

SUP1:9435

SUP2:9405

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (MAY) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES 2: 22975

RES 1:22905

SUP1: 22625

SUP2: 22570

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CS OPENING BELL : 18 May 2017

NIFTY SPOT DOWN 62 @9485

SENSEX DOWN 127 @30535

BANK NIFTY FUTURES DOWN 117 @22815

CS NIFTY FUTURES (MAY) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES2:9575

 RES 1:9535

SUP1:9425

SUP2:9375

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (MAY) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES 2: 23175

RES 1:23000

SUP1: 22750

SUP2: 22475

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CS OPENING BELL : 4 May 2017

NIFTY SPOT UP 37@9350

SENSEX UP 172 @30067

BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP 185@22532

CS NIFTY FUTURES (MAY) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES2:9425

RES 1:9385

SUP1:9275

SUP2:9225

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (MAY) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES 2: 22575

RES 1:22490

SUP1: 22275

SUP2: 22172

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CS OPENING BELL : 2 May 2017

NIFTY SPOT UP 37 @9342

SENSEX UP 137@30050

BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP 77@22437

CS NIFTY FUTURES (MAY) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES2:9425

 RES 1:9385

SUP1:9295

SUP2:9225

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (MAY) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES 2: 22425

RES 1:22335

SUP1: 22155

SUP2: 22025

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CS OPENING BELL : 25 Apr 2017

NIFTY SPOT UP 42@9260

SENSEX UP 162 @29815

BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP 75 @21905

CS NIFTY FUTURES (APRIL) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES2:9275

RES 1:9245

SUP1:9175

SUP2:9125

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (APRIL) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH

RES 2: 21975

RES 1:21855

SUP1: 21525

SUP2:21425

Capitalstars Financial Research Private Limited is a research house and an investment advisory carrying out operations in the Indian Equities and Commodity market.We also provide 2 days free trial to our client.Join our services and trade with us. 

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Share Market Tips

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