Rupee bounces back in green:30-Sep-2016

Despite witnessing biggest single-day slide of 39 paise in yesterday's trade, the spot rupee started the day slightly higher at 66.81 as against the US dollar.

The domestic currency, however, gained strengthen, on the back of fresh selling in US currency ahead of weekend.

Right now, the spot rupee is trading at the highest level of the day, with a gain of 20 paise at 66.65.

Meanwhile, October currency futures are up 21 paise at 66.92 per dollar.

Around 2,74,893 contracts have changed hands at the counter, while the open interest has decreased 0.5 percent on the NSE.

Compared to the European-currency, the Indian rupee has also advanced 21 paise at 74.79.

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Commodity Updated Tips:30-Sep-2016

BULLION
Silver December future has declined 0.3 percent in early deals at $ 2,182.
Gold and Platinum January 2017 series are trading on a flat note at $ 1,325 an ounce and $ 1,032, respectively.

ENERGY
Crude Oil November and Brent Oil December contracts have shed more than half a percent each at $ 47.56 and $ 49.43 per barrel, respectively.
Natural Gas November expiry has also moved down over 0.5 percent at $ 2.950.

BASE METAL
Copper December delivery is quoted at $ 2.182 - down 0.3 percent.

FOOD & EDIBLES
US Corn December and US Soybeans November futures are down 0.3-0.5 percent each at $ 329 and $ 945, respectively.

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Bearish start on global mayhem:30-Sep-2016

Indian Indices:

Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a negative opening on Friday tracking a bearish trend across markets in Asia and a negative finish at Wall Street overnight as mounting worries that German lender Deutsche Bank’s woes may spread into the global financial sector curbed risk taking appetite.

Losses in the SGX Nifty Index Futures for October delivery which were trading at 8,592.5, down by 0.60 per cent or 51.5 points at 10:40 AM Singapore time, signal that the Sensex may open lower today.

Meanwhile, worries over the escalation of tensions between India and Pakistan after Wednesday night’s surgical strikes by the Indian Army in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir may also keep trading sentiment jittery at Dalal Street.

Caution may also prevail ahead of the RBI’s monetary policy review on Tuesday, which will be the first meeting to be chaired by new governor Urjit Patel with investors hoping for a 25 bps interest rate cut amid the recent drop in inflation.

Marking the biggest single-day fall in three months, the 30-share Sensex plummeted by 465.28 points or by 1.64 per cent to 27,827.53 amid the September derivative expiry and as news of the Indian Army conducting surgical strikes across the Line of Control in Pakistani territory led investors to shun risky assets as tension between the two neighbouring countries mounted.

Global Market:

Asian stocks plunged today as concerns over Deutsche Bank’s finances led to a sell-off in financial shares worldwide as investors braced for a hit to the global financial system.

While Shanghai Composite was trading with modest gains, Hang Seng plunged over 1.4 per cent and Nikkei 225 tumbled over 1.5 per cent as Japanese consumer prices declined for a sixth straight month in August and as a stronger yen curbed the lure for exporter stocks.

Fears of a fresh contagion in the global banking sector weighed heavily on Wall Street on Thursday as US stocks took quite a beating. Shares of Deutsche Bank hit a record low in the US as reports surfaced that some hedge funds were moving to reduce their financial exposure to the bank.

Major Headlines of the day:

• Alkem Laboratories gets US FDA observations on Daman plant
• Accenture Q4FY16: Strong results, sentimentally positive for Indian IT incumbents
• Sintex approves demerger of custom moulding, prefab biz

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 3413.37 Cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 1630.88 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

STOCKS IN BAN PERIOD: NIL

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CS CLOSING BELL:30-Sep-2016

NIFTY SPOT UP 19.90@ 8611.15

SENSEX UP 38.43@ 27865.96

BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP 105.45@19437.00

                     DAILY NIFTY SMART MOVERS

SCRIPTS	PRICE	VOLUME             (IN 000’S)		PRE. CLOSE	CHANGE (%)	CHANGE (Rs.)
Reliance Comm	46.40	9941.23		42.55	9.05	3.85
United Spirits	2461.85	217.09		2307.45	6.69	154.40
Indiabulls Housing	830.10	86.09		787.10	5.46	43.00
Power Finance Corp	120.00	261.03		114.30	4.99	5.70
Ashok Leyland	80.00	1773.38		76.80	4.17	3.20

                      DAILY NIFTY TOP LAGGARDS                                            

SCRIPTS	PRICE	VOLUME (000’S)	PRE. CLOSE	CHANGE (%)	CHANGE (Rs.)
Cipla	579.85	850.81	600.90	-3.50	-21.05
Tech Mahindra	420.10	204.58	427.25	-1.67	-7.15
ITC	242.00	686.82	245.55	-1.45	-3.55
Coal India	322.80	731.67	327.30	-1.37	-4.50
Dr. Reddys Lab	3103.00	25.51	3137.05	-1.09	-34.05

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Commodity Updated Tips::29-Sep-2016

Commodity currencies firm, yen sags after OPEC oil curb agreement 

Commodity-linked currencies held firm on Thursday after OPEC agreed to cut oil output in the first such deal since 2008, boosting oil prices while a broad gain in risk assets dented the yen.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said it would reduce output to a range of 32.5-33.0 million barrels per day, a reduction of 0.7-2.2 percent from OPEC estimates of its current output at 33.24 million bpd.

That lifted oil prices, with international benchmark Brent futures (LCOc1) posting their biggest gains in 2 1/2 months to a three-week high of $48.96 per barrel.

"It was a surprise that OPEC reached an agreement. It was even more surprising that they agreed on a production cut," said Kazushige Kaida, head of forex at State Street in Tokyo.

Reflecting oil's status as Canada's leading export product, the Canadian dollar climbed to C$1.3054 versus the greenback after having risen 0.9 percent on Wednesday, its biggest daily gain in a month.

The Norwegian crown was a clear winner, hitting a near five-month high of 8.0222 to the dollar and 14-month high of 9.0085 per euro (EURNOK=R).

The Australian dollar also hit a three-week high of $0.7696, as the country exports various natural resources even though it is a net importer of oil.

Some analysts cautioned that the oil-cut deal is leaving crucial details on how much each country will produce to be decided at the next formal OPEC meeting in November, when an invitation to join cuts could also be extended to non-OPEC countries such as Russia.

"It could be that everyone is thinking that they don't have to cut output themselves," said Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank.

"I think the markets are still not fully convinced," he added.

Still, a jump in oil prices boosted risk assets and undermined the yen, which is often seen as a safe haven at times of economic stress.
The dollar rose 0.7 percent to 101.35 yen , extending its rebound from one-month low of 100.085 touched on Tuesday.

But its rise was blocked for now by technical resistance from the Ichimoku tenkan line at 101.44. Many market players think dollar/yen is still firmly in the downtrend seen since the start of year.

The dollar has weakened against the yen as investors grew increasingly skeptical of the Bank of Japan's ability to ease policy and cheapen the yen, with many seeing its stimulus measures having reached their effective limit.

In addition, traders suspect Washington will be less tolerant of a cheaper yen given the U.S. presidential election in November.
"While the recovery in oil prices was positive for risk-taking, there remain other worries, so safe-haven demand for the yen will remain," said State Street's Kaida.

The euro was little changed at $1.1222, recovering from Wednesday's low of $1.1182 helped in part by rebound in shares of Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn).
The euro is trading near the middle of its narrow triangle holding pattern since August.

In the short term, German inflation data could help the euro if the data shows a rise in consumer prices as expected, said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief FX strategist at Mizuho Securities.

German annual inflation is expected to reach 0.5 percent in September from 0.3 percent in August.

"German inflation has been recovering after hitting a bottom of minus 0.3 percent in April. If we see a number in line with market expectations, that could dampen expectations of further momentary easing by the European Central Bank in December," he said.

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Bullish start likely on global support:29-Sep-2016

Indian Indices:

Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a gap up opening on Thursday tracking a bullish trend across markets in Asia and a strong finish at Wall Street overnight after the OPEC’s decision to cut output for the first time since 2008 fueled a rally in oil prices, bolstering risk taking appetite.

Gains in the Nifty Index Futures for September delivery which were trading at 8,803, up by 0.47 per cent or 41.5 points at 10:38 AM Singapore time, 

signal that the Sensex may open higher on the day of the expiry of the September derivative contracts.

Volatility may remain high at the local bourses today as traders roll over their positions amid the September futures & options (F&O) contracts expiry.

On the domestic front, all eyes are on the RBI’s monetary policy review on Tuesday with speculation of a 25 basis points cut in key interest rates amid receding consumer inflation.

Snapping a three-day losing streak, the 30-share Sensex on Wednesday rallied 69.11 points or by 0.24 per cent to 28,292.81 amid value buying in select blue chip stocks.

Global Market:

Asian stocks rose as oil prices hit a three-week high after the OPEC agreed to cut production for the first time in eight years.

Shanghai Composite & Hang Seng rallied while Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped as a weaker yen bolstered the lure for exporter stocks.

US stocks rose on Wednesday as energy shares climbed the most in eight months as news of the OPEC deal boosted oil prices.

Major Headlines of the day:

• Cipla freezes increments of top management to cut costs
• OPEC agrees to cut oil production for first time in eight years
• Bank of India to cut base rate by 5 bps to 9.65% on Friday

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 73.83 Cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs -69.53 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

STOCKS IN BAN PERIOD:  CENTURYTEX, IDBI, JETAIRWAYS, JINDALSTEEL, JISJALEQS, JPASSOCIATE, JUSTDIAL, RCOM, SINTEX, WOCKPHARMA.

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CS OPENING BELL:29-Sep-2016

NIFTY SPOT UP 47@8790

SENSEX UP 155 @28447

BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP 97 @ 19789

CS NIFTY FUTURES (SEP) OVERVIEW

TREND MIXED TO BULLISH

RES2:8805

RES 1:8785

SUP1:8695

SUP2:8655

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (SEP) OVERVIEW

TREND MIXED TO BEARISH

RES 2:19952

RES 1:19850

SUP1:19510

SUP2:19425

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CS CLOSING BELL:29-Sep-2016

NIFTY SPOT DOWN 152@ 8592

SENSEX DOWN 465@ 27827

BANK NIFTY FUTURES DOWN 507@19182

                     DAILY NIFTY SMART MOVERS

SCRIPTS	PRICE	VOLUME             (IN 000’S)		PRE. CLOSE	CHANGE (%)	CHANGE (Rs.)
Bharti Infratel	372.30	2479.80		362.80	2.62	9.50
TCS	2437.00	1574.63		2423.05	0.58	13.95
Zee Entertainment	549.05	3642.57		548.00	0.19	1.05
-	-	-		-	-	-
-	-	-		-	-	-

                      DAILY NIFTY TOP LAGGARDS                                            

SCRIPTS	PRICE	VOLUME (000’S)	PRE. CLOSE	CHANGE (%)	CHANGE (Rs.)
BHEL	133.00	16249.52	143.90	-7.57	-10.90
Adani Ports &Special	256.95	5974.00	271.00	-5.18	-14.05
Aurobindo Pharma	828.00	4192.71	869.35	-4.76	-41.35
Hindalco	149.85	12672.11	156.90	-4.49	-7.05
Grasim Industries	4680.00	216.25	4881.20	-4.12	-201.20

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Commodity Updated Tips:28-Sep-2016

BULLION
Gold and Silver December futures are marginally down in early trade at $ 1,329 an ounce and $ 19.123, respectively.
Platinum January 2017 contract is almost unchanged at $ 1,030.

ENERGY
Natural Gas November expiry has declined 0.4 percent at $ 3.032.
Crude Oil November delivery is slightly down at $ 44.64 per barrel.
Brent Oil December future is quoted at $ 46.63 - up 0.2 percent.

BASE METAL
Copper December contract is trading on a soft note at $ 2.174.

FOOD & EDIBLES
US Corn December and US Soybeans November series are down 0.3 percent each at $ 331 and $ 949, respectively.


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Flat to positive start seen on Dalal Street:28-Sep-2016

Indian Indices:

Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a gap down opening on Wednesday tracking a bearish trend across markets in Asia as traders remained jittery ahead of an OPEC meet which is unlikely to result in any substantial measures to address an ongoing crude oil global supply glut, curbing risk taking appetite.

Losses in the Nifty Index Futures for September delivery which were trading at 8,699, down by 0.28 per cent or 24.5 points at 10:28 AM Singapore time, signal that the Sensex may open lower today.

The domestic bourses may see heightened volatility as traders roll over their positions ahead of the September futures & options (F&O) contracts expiry tomorrow.

Caution is also likely to persist ahead of the upcoming monetary policy review of the RBI on Tuesday with a 25 basis points cut in interest rates a possibility given the dip in consumer inflation to below the upper tolerance limit of the government’s annual inflation target of 4 per cent plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Meanwhile, India’s economy remains on a strong growth path, and is expected to expand 7.4 per cent in the fiscal ending March 2017 as robust consumer demand and progress on reforms help it maintain its position of being the world’s fastest growing major economy, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has said.

Marking a third straight day in the red, the 30-share Sensex on Tuesday fell 70.58 points or by 0.25 per cent to end at 28,223.7 amid a sell-off in European markets.

Global Market:

Volatility in oil prices amid fading hopes of an output cut at a meeting of OPEC countries on Wednesday weighed on Asian stocks which were trading lower today.

Shanghai Composite was trading with slim losses, Hang Seng fell and Japan’s Nikkei 225 tumbled over 1.5 per cent as worries over the outcome of the OPEC meet overshadowed relief over Hillary Clinton’s strong performance in the first US Presidential debate on Monday against Republican nominee Donald Trump.

Wall Street rallied on Tuesday as US consumer confidence scaled a nine-year high in September, bolstering the outlook for the world’s biggest economy.

Major Headlines of the day:

• RBI raises foreign Investment limit in Motherson Sumi to 30%
• Aurobindo gets approval from USFDA for zoledronic acid injectable
• Cipla aims to reach $1bn India sales through tie-ups and new launches

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -155.76 Cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 90.67 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

STOCKS IN BAN PERIOD:  CEATLTD, DLF, IBREALEST, IDBI, JETAIRWAYS, JINDALSTEEL, JAINIRRIGATION (JISLJALEQS), RCOM, RELCAP, WOCKPHARMA, SINTEX, 
JPASSOCIATE.

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CS OPENING BELL:28-Sep-2016

NIFTY SPOT UP 12@8715

SENSEX UP 35 @28260

BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP45 @ 19605

CS NIFTY FUTURES (SEP) OVERVIEW

TREND MIXED TO BULLISH

RES2:8805

RES 1:8785

SUP1:8695

SUP2:8655

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (SEP) OVERVIEW

TREND MIXED TO BEARISH

RES 2:19952

RES 1:19850

SUP1:19510

SUP2:19425

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CS CLOSING BELL:28-Sep-2016

NIFTY SPOT UP 37@ 8745

SENSEX UP 67@ 28292

BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP 101@19660

                     DAILY NIFTY SMART MOVERS

SCRIPTS	PRICE	VOLUME             (IN 000’S)		PRE. CLOSE	CHANGE (%)	CHANGE (Rs.)
Eicher Motors	25961.75	94.95		24643.25	5.35	1318.50
Hindalco	157.30	12488.51		150.05	4.83	7.25
Idea Cellular	82.50	9827.87		79.55	3.71	2.95
Tata Steel	380.60	6205.21		367.95	3.44	12.65
Zee Entertainment	550.15	2076.25		532.40	3.33	17.75

                      DAILY NIFTY TOP LAGGARDS                                            

SCRIPTS	PRICE	VOLUME (000’S)	PRE. CLOSE	CHANGE (%)	CHANGE (Rs.)
Reliance Industries	1089.95	5482.45	1110.50	-1.85	-20.55
Tech Mahindra	441.10	1717.89	447.85	-1.51	-6.75
Coal India	328.55	1499.18	332.75	-1.26	-4.20
Hindustan Unilever	887.05	1818.93	897.30	-1.14	-10.25
Sun Pharma Inds.	765.45	2245.98	770.15	-0.61	-4.70

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